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RESEARCH PAPER / 2026-04-07

Impact of abdominal obesity prevalence trends on dementia, cardiovascular disease, functional impairment, and mortality in older Chinese adults: A Markov scenario simulation, 2020-2050.

Yujing Zhou, Minrui Zeng, Yuntao Chen, Piotr Bandosz, Eric Brunner, Jing Liao

Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. · pubmed

Abstract

Dementia, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and functional impairment (FI) often co-occur in aging populations, with abdominal obesity as a shared modifiable risk factor. The long-term impact of abdominal obesity on these comorbidities is unclear. We projected the 30-year burden of dementia, FI, and CVD in China under different trajectories of abdominal obesity prevalence.

The following analysis is generated by AI and may contain errors. It is separate from the authors’ abstract and is not peer review.

Research summary

The paper claims that different trajectories of abdominal obesity prevalence will significantly impact the burden of dementia, cardiovascular disease, and functional impairment in older Chinese adults. This research is relevant as it addresses a modifiable risk factor (abdominal obesity) that could influence multiple age-related diseases, thereby contributing to our understanding of longevity and aging.

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