Time is encoded by methylation changes at clustered CpG sites

Abstract

Age-dependent changes in DNA methylation allow chronological and biological age inference, but the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Using ultra-deep sequencing of >300 blood samples from healthy individuals, we show that age-dependent DNA methylation changes are regional and occur at multiple adjacent CpG sites, either stochastically or in a coordinated block-like manner. Deep learning analysis of single-molecule patterns in two genomic loci achieved accurate age prediction with a median error of 1.46-1.7 years on held-out human blood samples, dramatically improving current epigenetic clocks. Factors such as gender, BMI, smoking and other measures of biological aging do not affect chronological age inference. Longitudinal 10-year samples revealed that early deviations from epigenetic age are maintained throughout life and subsequent changes faithfully record time. Lastly, the model inferred chronological age from as few as 50 DNA molecules, suggesting that age is encoded by individual cells. Overall, DNA methylation changes in clustered CpG sites illuminate the principles of time measurement by cells and tissues, and facilitate medical and forensic applications.

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